Monday, November 8, 2010

Too Young For the GOP?

After browsing this piece from Politico about how the "Republican Tsunami" nation-wide was really a shift amongst older voters towards the GOP side of the ticket ("Voters over 65 favored Republicans last week by a 21-point margin"), I couldn't help but think that Howard County may be too young for the Republican Party.

The 2000 census pegged Howard's median age at 36 with 7.5% of the population 65 years of age or older. (O'Malley 53.8% to Ehrlich 44.5%)

Just for comparison:
Baltimore County had a median age of 38 with 14.6% of the population 65 years of age or older.
(O 48.97%; E 48.96%)
Montgomery County had a median age of 37 with 11.2% of the population 65 years of age or older.
(O 67.76%; E 30.85%)
Harford County had a median age of 36 with 10.10% of the population 65 years of age or older.
(O 32.86%; E 64.66%)
Prince George's County had a median age of 33 with 7.7% of the population 65 years of age or older.
(O 87.84%; E 11.36%)

There are so many other demographics that come in to play (not to mention that these are old demo numbers contrasted against an election from last week), but considering the reliability of the 65+ vote, you have to think that the percentage of the population that fit this demographic has some correlation to Republican votes.  It will be interesting to see the new Census numbers.  I wouldn't be surprised to see that Howard County has become younger, with a smaller percentage of our citizens in the 65+ range.

Also, this is not meant to provide yet another "federal-worker-esque" excuse for HoCo Republican leadership.  If the County is getting younger, the message needs to be directed to younger voters.  When I go to Republican events, I can normally count the 25-35 demographic on two hands.  At Democratic events, I would need an abacus.